Kalshi · Basketball · American football
tmwadvisors is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 70 picks, 62.9% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 31 won, 28 lost, 52.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 33 | 32 | 16 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Bundesliga | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Europa League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
tmwadvisors mainly predicts NCAAF: 33 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.9% hit rate over 70 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 17.6%. In NCAAF, 16 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 07:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Southern Utah Thunderbirds 38:17 UC Davis Aggies NCAAF | Over 63.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Ole Miss Rebels 31:3 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn 27:28 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Over 65.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | AJ Barner: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | AFC Bournemouth 3:0 SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Lakers 89:101 Golden State Warriors NBA | Over 225.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 33:30 Delaware Blue Hens NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27:24 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Over 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Brenton Strange: 7+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Parker Washington: 6+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Bhayshul Tuten: 70+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Fresno State Bulldogs 31:38 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon State Beavers 66:14 San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | Team Over 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | ORE -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 42:28 UCF Knights NCAAF | Team Over 31.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | Over 30.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Over 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | Over 68.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Fresno State Bulldogs 38:24 Rice Owls NCAAF | FRES -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Under 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 75:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 75:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle Storm 91:103 Dallas Wings WNBA | Over 188.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2:4 Washington MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |