Kalshi · Basketball
weak.stone is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 219 picks, 68.5% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 26 | 26 | 18 | 69.2% |
| NBA Summer League | 20 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| Japan NPB | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Eliteserien | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
weak.stone mainly predicts WNBA: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.5% hit rate over 219 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 11.9%. In WNBA, 18 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-15 19:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 3:2 Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB | Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 6:4 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 6:4 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Saitama Seibu Lions 7:3 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Kuopion Palloseura 2:3 FK Vardar (FK Vardar Skopje) Champions League | Kuopion Palloseura vs FK Vardar Skopje: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Under 175.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 202.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 196.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | MIN +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Cleveland 90:73 Miami NBA Summer League | Under 167.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Memphis 88:96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 191.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Memphis 88:96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 188.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | 1H Over 88.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Boston 90:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101:92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Under 198.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Under 192.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | Over 162.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | Over 168.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Over 186.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Milwaukee 80:90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Over 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Under 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Milwaukee 80:90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Under 153.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Milwaukee 80:90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Under 159.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 0:0 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Washington 104:85 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Over 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Over 184.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105:112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Over 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 2:2 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil vs Goias Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Golden 104:79 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Under 183.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston 87:75 Charlotte NBA Summer League | Under 164.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Seattle Reign FC 2:0 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Seattle Reign vs Portland Thorns Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit 103:94 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Over 188.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93:91 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Mystics 84:79 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 168.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New 81:75 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Under 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93:91 New York Liberty WNBA | 1H Under 87.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) 1:0 Viking FK Eliteserien | Sarpsborg vs Viking Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Mystics 84:79 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0:0 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) 2:2 Hamarkameratene (HamKam) Eliteserien | Sandefjord vs HamKam Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) 2:2 Hamarkameratene (HamKam) Eliteserien | Sandefjord vs HamKam Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | SK Brann 2:1 IK Start Eliteserien | Brann vs Start Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | IF Brommapojkarna 1:2 IK Sirius Allsvenskan | Brommapojkarna vs Sirius Winner | Won |