Kalshi · Football
Marisimo is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 62.1% win rate, $515 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 39 | 39 | 21 | 53.8% |
| Liga MX | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Champions League | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Marisimo mainly predicts World Cup: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.1% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $515, ROI 34.0%. In World Cup, 21 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-14 03:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Viking wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Galatasaray wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 3:2 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Trinidad and Tobago wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Austria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Denmark wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 1:0 Antigua and Barbuda CONCACAF Nations League | Aruba wins | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Vålerenga Fotball (Valerenga) 0:3 Hamarkameratene (HamKam) Eliteserien | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 1:3 Villarreal CF Club Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Górnik Zabrze (Gornik Zabrze) 2:1 Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Tijuana de Caliente 1:0 Leon Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FC St. Gallen (FC St. Gallen 1879) 2:1 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) 2:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | Nautico vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) 2:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 0:1 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | DAL -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | URU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |