Kalshi · Basketball · Football
Matt.Nowak is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 81 picks, 67.5% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 12 | 57.1% |
| NCAAF | 14 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| NBA | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Matt.Nowak mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.5% hit rate over 81 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 20.4%. In MLB, 12 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-30 12:01 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Portland Trail Blazers 103:124 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Atlanta Dream 80:69 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | America 1:1 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Seattle 0:1 Houston MLS | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | San Antonio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Tennessee Titans 24:27 Cleveland Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35:38 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | New Orleans Pelicans 120:123 Indiana Pacers NBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Orlando Magic 125:132 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Orlando wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Florida International Panthers 23:26 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF | Middle Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Aces 77:87 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Dream 101:98 New York Liberty WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Washington State Cougars 6:26 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USC Trojans 25:21 Washington NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 20:24 Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF | Miami (OH) wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Washington Mystics 75:93 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |