Kalshi · Basketball
MattyMoonshine is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 66.7% win rate, $363 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 50 won, 10 lost, 83.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 14 | 14 | 11 | 78.6% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Nations League | 10 | 10 | 10 | 100.0% |
| AFCON | 8 | 8 | 8 | 100.0% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
MattyMoonshine mainly predicts NCAAF: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $363, ROI 11.3%. In NCAAF, 11 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 21:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | Comoros wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | IDHO +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Montana St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Kitts and Nevis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | FRA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | MNE +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Kazakhstan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Paige Bueckers: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2:1 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Japan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | TB -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Philadelphia 1:12 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami (FL) 52:3 Central Michigan Chippewas NCAAF | MIA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kentucky Wildcats 45:21 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | UK +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kentucky Wildcats 45:21 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | UK +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) 1:1 Eritrea AFCON | Kenya wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) 1:1 Eritrea AFCON | Eritrea wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) 3:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) AFCON | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | BEL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | The Gambia men's national football team (Gambia) 2:1 Somalia AFCON | Somalia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) 2:1 Madagascar men's national football team (Madagascar) AFCON | Madagascar wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Niger men's national football team (Niger) 2:1 Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) AFCON | Lesotho wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Mozambique men's national football team (Mozambique) 1:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) AFCON | Mozambique wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Phoenix Mercury 82:100 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | NOR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Denmark wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 2:0 Equatorial Guinea men's national association football team (Equatorial Guinea) AFCON | Equatorial Guinea wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Arsenal Women 1:0 Koege Women's Champions League | Koege wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Francisco 49ers 35:13 MIA Dolphins NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Sunderland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego State Aztecs 13:26 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | James Madison wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Missouri Tigers 27:17 Troy NCAAF | Missouri wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 35:42 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Toronto Tempo 85:103 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20:33 Miami (FL) NCAAF | Miami (FL) wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) 1:3 KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) Eliteserien | Sarpsborg wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Zhejiang Prof. 4:1 Wuhan Three Towns F.C. (Wuhan Three Towns FC) Chinese Super League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Seattle Storm 77:114 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Won |