FIBA ·
Mexico vs Nicaragua result (98:79) on 4 Jul 2026 (FIBA): 13 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 77% backing Nicaragua to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Mexico 98:79 Nicaragua (2026-07-04). Before the result, 77% of 13 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Nicaragua to win — that call was wrong.
13 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Mexico 3 (23%) · Nicaragua 10 (77%).
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-07-04 12:39 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
13 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Mexico to win 3 (23%) · Nicaragua to win 10 (77%).
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Ssiddiq Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | dineshpaudel Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | grooy Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | gym.bank Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | luck.blk Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | parravicini Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | wokstar.7 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | fat.minekmacias Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | 30jr30 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | prickly.fish0487 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | dutch.bass Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Lobsterrobert Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Droski Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Ren1234 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Nestobeast07 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | blowgang Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | wide.labrador5736 Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | zenpo Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | zenpo Kalshi | Nicaragua vs Mexico Winner | Won |