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Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun result (72:63) on 20 Jul 2026 (WNBA): 333 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 70% backing Phoenix Mercury to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 72:63 Connecticut Sun (2026-07-20). Before the result, 70% of 187 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Phoenix Mercury to win — that call was right.
333 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 131 (70%) · Connecticut Sun 56 (30%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: W L L L L. Connecticut Sun, last 5: L W W L L. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Connecticut Sun wins): 1-0-2; latest 2026-07-20: Phoenix Mercury 96:83 Connecticut Sun.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-07-20 08:50 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
333 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 131 (70%) · Connecticut Sun to win 56 (30%).
| 2026-07-20 | vs Connecticut Sun | 96:83 | W |
| 2026-07-18 | vs Connecticut Sun | 83:96 | L |
| 2026-07-14 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 100:104 | L |
| 2026-07-12 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 58:106 | L |
| 2026-07-10 | vs Indiana Fever | 89:92 | L |
| 2026-07-20 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 83:96 | L |
| 2026-07-18 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 96:83 | W |
| 2026-07-14 | vs Portland Fire | 90:87 | W |
| 2026-07-11 | vs Golden State Valkyries | 64:79 | L |
| 2026-07-09 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 80:86 | L |
| 2026-07-20 | Phoenix Mercury | 96:83 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2026-07-18 | Phoenix Mercury | 83:96 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2025-09-07 | Connecticut Sun | 87:84 | Phoenix Mercury |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | curie Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | paulspidey Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | FishBeWater Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | lomatic Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | pickleboy0808 Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Pleased-Hurry Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury to win | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 164.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Gaditima Polymarket | Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 165.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | HONGKONGPEACH Polymarket | Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 163.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | tycheStream Polymarket | Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 165.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Insubstantial-Downturn Polymarket | Connecticut Sun to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | HONGKONGPEACH Polymarket | Phoenix Mercury -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Unitdor Kalshi | Under 32.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | swoopking Kalshi | PHX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | worrying.dinosaur Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | kylexx Kalshi | PHX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | youngP Kalshi | PHX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | PHX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | big.nose Kalshi | PHX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | valenzuela20 Kalshi | PHX -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | deep.bruh Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | eddypalmer Kalshi | Under 41.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Roseworld600 Kalshi | PHX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Maninitito Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | quickest.bullfrog3990 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | thick.hip Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | blind.room01 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | grim.retribution Kalshi | Under 150.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | bot2000 Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | juicy.piranha3143 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Lanceloc Kalshi | PHX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | quick.linkTinka Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | cashmoneyo Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | crude.tiger5544 Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | goal.doubt Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | swoopking Kalshi | PHX +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | kingjovaun Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | cliffclavin30 Kalshi | PHX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | dutch.bass Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | LxFrance Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | ilovelulu Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | ExpectedValueZero Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | twentytwoclicks Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | firm.ox7622 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | grim.retribution Kalshi | PHX +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | acquired.catfish Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | blind.boom Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | distinctive.porpoise7017 Kalshi | PHX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | bigdude98 Kalshi | PHX +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | rogp Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | chiquis.1984 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | sirpapi Kalshi | PHX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | grim.retribution Kalshi | Under 159.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Bmoney9035 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | grim.retribution Kalshi | Under 165.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | The.Captain20 Kalshi | PHX +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | ltx.a Kalshi | PHX +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | coming.treefrog8271 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | beermoney365 Kalshi | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |