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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol prediction for 2 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (La Liga). Prediction-market win probability: Athletic Bilbao 47%, the draw 26%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 26% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Athletic Bilbao 47% · Draw 26% · Real Sociedad de Fútbol 26% (updated )
Athletic Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 47% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-24 02:15 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1480 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-24 02:15 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Athletic Bilbao 47% · Draw 26% · Real Sociedad de Fútbol 26%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Athletic Bilbao, last 5: L D W D D. Real Sociedad de Fútbol, last 5: W W D W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-24 02:15 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-22 | vs Levante UD | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Valencia | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Deportivo Alaves | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Lillestrom | 6:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Malaga | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs R.Union Saint-Gilloise | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs RC Deportivo A Coruña | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Valencia | 3:2 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Pending |