Champions League ·
Atletico vs Bayern Munich prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (Champions League): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Atletico 29%, the draw 21%, Bayern Munich 50% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Atletico 29% · Draw 21% · Bayern Munich 50% (updated )
Bayern Munich is the prediction-market favourite at 50% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-23 18:47 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1764 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-23 18:47 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Atletico 29% · Draw 21% · Bayern Munich 50%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Atletico, last 5: D W W W W. Bayern Munich, last 5: D W D D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-23 18:47 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-21 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Madrid CFF W | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Espanyol | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Manchester United FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Alaves | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Arsenal FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ALL6500 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |