Liga Portugal ·
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca prediction for 3 Nov 2026, 04:15 SGT (Liga Portugal): 15 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 80% backing Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win. Prediction-market win probability: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 84%, the draw 11%, FC Alverca 4% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 84% · Draw 11% · FC Alverca 4% (updated )
Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the prediction-market favourite at 84% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-02 11:22 UTC+8). Of 5 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (80%) back Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1811 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 11:22 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 84% · Draw 11% · FC Alverca 4%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
15 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4 (80%) · Draw 0 (0%) · FC Alverca 1 (20%).
Sport Lisboa e Benfica, last 5: W W W W L. FC Alverca, last 5: L D W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 11:22 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
15 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 4 (80%) · the draw 0 (0%) · FC Alverca to win 1 (20%).
| 2026-10-27 | vs CD Santa Clara | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | vs AS Omónoia Leukosías | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Celtic FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Vitória SC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs FC Porto | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs FC Arouca | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs CD Tondela | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Famalicao | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Rio Ave FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CD Nacional | 3:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | k-maniac Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | manvsrice42 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | =3= Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | bobjberg Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | VEYROON Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Nana51 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Halftime · Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | clb-q Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 77usa Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | elgrandes Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | nutildah Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 0xa9f4…6d3d Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | benjammin29 Kalshi | BEN -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | fhzw Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | lbtrading Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 0xfc4d…559b Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Jason.Quijano23 Kalshi | SL Benfica wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | elgrandes Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | TuttyFruity Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | lbtrading Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Lonely-Prince Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | tobako Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | 0xe13c…1159 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | willp21 Kalshi | SL Benfica wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | HRTrading Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | BoxesOfBallz Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | PCMTest Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | cosmicsteaks Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |