Primera Federación ·
CF Algeciras vs Real Madrid Castilla prediction for 25 Oct 2026, 23:30 SGT (Primera Federación). Prediction-market win probability: CF Algeciras 31%, the draw 28%, Real Madrid Castilla 41% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: CF Algeciras 31% · Draw 28% · Real Madrid Castilla 41% (updated )
Real Madrid Castilla is the prediction-market favourite at 41% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-25 04:37 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1678 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-25 04:37 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CF Algeciras 31% · Draw 28% · Real Madrid Castilla 41%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-25 04:37 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | doador Polymarket | Real Madrid Castilla to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Real Madrid Castilla to win | Pending |