LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026
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Club Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (Champions League). Prediction-market win probability: Club Atlético de Madrid 28%, the draw 22%, FC Bayern München 49% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Club Atlético de Madrid 28% · Draw 22% · FC Bayern München 49% (updated )
FC Bayern München is the prediction-market favourite at 49% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-22 20:16 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 1474 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-22 20:16 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Club Atlético de Madrid 28% · Draw 22% · FC Bayern München 49%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Club Atlético de Madrid, last 5: D W W W W. FC Bayern München, last 5: D W D D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-22 20:16 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-21 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Manchester United FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Deportivo Alaves | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Real Madrid | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Arsenal FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 7:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | ALL6500 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |