LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Champions League ·
Club Atlético de Madrid vs FC Bayern München prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (Champions League): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing FC Bayern München to win. Prediction-market win probability: Club Atlético de Madrid 28%, the draw 22%, FC Bayern München 48% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Club Atlético de Madrid 28% · Draw 22% · FC Bayern München 48% (updated )
FC Bayern München is the prediction-market favourite at 48% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-29 04:16 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 2 (67%) back FC Bayern München to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1740 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-29 04:16 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Club Atlético de Madrid 28% · Draw 22% · FC Bayern München 48%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 (33%) · Draw 0 (0%) · FC Bayern München 2 (67%).
Club Atlético de Madrid, last 5: W D W W W. FC Bayern München, last 5: W D W D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-29 04:16 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Club Atlético de Madrid to win 1 (33%) · the draw 0 (0%) · FC Bayern München to win 2 (67%).
| 2026-10-25 | vs RC Deportivo A Coruña | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Manchester United FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Deportivo Alavés | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs SC Freiburg | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Arsenal FC | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RB Leipzig | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Viking FK | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs FC Augsburg | 2:2 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | lbtrading Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | ONELABT2 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | monter.86 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | lejendsjian Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | morieAF1 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-24 | tnl Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | zxcvb1 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | zxcvb1 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | zxcvb1 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ALL6500 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |