Ligue 1 ·
Lens vs Marseille prediction for 9 Nov 2026, 03:45 SGT (Ligue 1). Prediction-market win probability: Lens 46%, the draw 23%, Marseille 29% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Lens 46% · Draw 23% · Marseille 29% (updated )
Lens is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-03 04:14 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2034 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-03 04:14 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Lens 46% · Draw 23% · Marseille 29%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Lens, last 5: L W L W L. Marseille, last 5: W W L W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-03 04:14 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-31 | vs Lille | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Paris FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Club Brugge | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Troyes | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Sporting CP | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-11-02 | vs Toulouse FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Le Havre AC | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Sturm Graz | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Angers | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Olympiacos | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Racing Club de Lens to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |