Liga MX ·
Toluca vs CF Monterrey prediction for 8 Nov 2026, 09:00 SGT (Liga MX). Prediction-market win probability: Toluca 57%, the draw 21%, CF Monterrey 22% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Toluca 57% · Draw 21% · CF Monterrey 22% (updated )
Toluca is the prediction-market favourite at 57% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-01 21:32 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 52% of 2091 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 21:32 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Toluca 57% · Draw 21% · CF Monterrey 22%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Toluca, last 5: D D D D L. CF Monterrey, last 5: D L W W D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 21:32 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-01 | vs America | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Leon | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Club Tijuana | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs San Luis | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Tigres | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Club Tijuana | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | vs CD Guadalajara | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Club Puebla | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs CF Pachuca | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs America | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Monterrey wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Toluca wins | Pending |