Liga MX ·
Leon vs CD Guadalajara prediction for 9 Nov 2026, 10:00 SGT (Liga MX). Prediction-market win probability: Leon 33%, the draw 23%, CD Guadalajara 42% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Leon 33% · Draw 23% · CD Guadalajara 42% (updated )
CD Guadalajara is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-02 00:13 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 2028 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 00:13 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Leon 33% · Draw 23% · CD Guadalajara 42%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Leon, last 5: D W L D W. CD Guadalajara, last 5: W W W D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 00:13 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-25 | vs Toluca | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Tigres | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs America | 3:5 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Club Puebla | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Juarez | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Atlante FC | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs CF Monterrey | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Club Necaxa | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Tigres | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Atlas FC | 1:1 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Leon wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-29 | natal351 Kalshi | Guadalajara wins | Pending |