Liga Portugal ·
SL Benfica vs FC Alverca prediction for 3 Nov 2026, 04:15 SGT (Liga Portugal): 49 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 86% backing SL Benfica to win. Prediction-market win probability: SL Benfica 87%, the draw 8%, FC Alverca 3% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: SL Benfica 87% · Draw 8% · FC Alverca 3% (updated )
SL Benfica is the prediction-market favourite at 87% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 6 (86%) back SL Benfica to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1774 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: SL Benfica 87% · Draw 8% · FC Alverca 3%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
49 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: SL Benfica 6 (86%) · Draw 0 (0%) · FC Alverca 1 (14%).
SL Benfica, last 5: W W W W L. FC Alverca, last 5: L D W W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (SL Benfica wins – draws – FC Alverca wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-02-09: SL Benfica 2:1 FC Alverca.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-03 03:48 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
49 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: SL Benfica to win 6 (86%) · the draw 0 (0%) · FC Alverca to win 1 (14%).
| 2026-10-27 | vs CD Santa Clara | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Omonia Nicosia | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Celtic FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs FC Porto | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs FC Arouca | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs CD Tondela | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-13 | vs Famalicao | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Rio Ave FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CD Nacional | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-02-09 | SL Benfica | 2:1 | FC Alverca |
| 2025-09-01 | FC Alverca | 1:2 | SL Benfica |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | kitopesivan Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | gebilaowang888888 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | toryxbt Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | gebilaowang888888 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | rplc-ftbl Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | neutralwave23 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ColdMath Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | lukito71 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Macunireal Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | k-maniac Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | k-maniac Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | hedgevaultmainnet1 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | chuzihang03 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | toryxbt Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Unlucky-Begonia Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | toryxbt Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Macunireal Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | EdgeBets Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | chuzihang03 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Macunireal Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | toryxbt Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Pan9X Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | toryxbt Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Cannae Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ColdMath Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Macunireal Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Yar0202 Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | GC-C Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | MeistersApprenticeship Polymarket | FC Alverca to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | MeistersApprenticeship Polymarket | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Pending |