NBA ·
Cavaliers vs Thunder prediction for 3 Nov 2026, 08:00 SGT (NBA): 17 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing Cavaliers to win. Prediction-market win probability: Cavaliers 60%, Thunder 39% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Cavaliers 60% · Thunder 39% (updated )
Cavaliers is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-03 01:39 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (67%) back Cavaliers to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 65% of 2470 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-03 01:39 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Cavaliers 60% · Thunder 39%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
17 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cavaliers 4 (67%) · Thunder 2 (33%).
Cavaliers, last 5: W L W W W. Thunder, last 5: L L W W W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Cavaliers wins – draws – Thunder wins): 1-0-3; latest 2026-02-23: Thunder 121:113 Cavaliers.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-03 01:39 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
17 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cavaliers to win 4 (67%) · Thunder to win 2 (33%).
| 2026-11-01 | vs Bucks | 136:111 | W |
| 2026-10-30 | vs Hawks | 111:114 | L |
| 2026-10-29 | vs Wizards | 121:111 | W |
| 2026-10-27 | vs Timberwolves | 127:125 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Nets | 125:121 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Rockets | 98:119 | L |
| 2026-10-29 | vs Mavericks | 96:120 | L |
| 2026-10-27 | vs Suns | 125:114 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs Clippers | 108:101 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Nuggets | 96:84 | W |
| 2026-02-23 | Thunder | 121:113 | Cavaliers |
| 2026-01-20 | Cavaliers | 104:136 | Thunder |
| 2025-01-17 | Thunder | 134:114 | Cavaliers |
| 2025-01-09 | Cavaliers | 129:122 | Thunder |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | RN1 Polymarket | Cavaliers -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | rypzz Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Lost |
| 2026-11-03 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | rypzz Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Ours32 Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ThanosTheMadTitan Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | RN1 Polymarket | Cavaliers -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Melodic-Behalf Polymarket | Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | love-YeJin Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Melodic-Behalf Polymarket | Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | JAMJAMJAM4 Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | RN1 Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 230.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ferrariChampions2026 Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 228.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 228.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | RN1 Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | RN1 Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | RN1 Polymarket | Cavaliers -6.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 226.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | JAMJAMJAM4 Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Melodic-Behalf Polymarket | Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Melodic-Behalf Polymarket | Bennett Stirtz: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 228.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ferrariChampions2026 Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Melodic-Behalf Polymarket | Bennett Stirtz: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | ferrariChampions2026 Polymarket | Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | rypzz Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 228.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Thunder vs Cavaliers O/U 228.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | cuna Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | chadwick1 Kalshi | Isaiah Hartenstein: 10+ points | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | JWH28 Kalshi | Isaiah Hartenstein: 10+ points | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | chadwick1 Kalshi | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 25+ points | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | coolhanddan Kalshi | Over 227.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | chadwick1 Kalshi | Peyton Watson: 4+ threes | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | T0RRE5 Kalshi | CLE -4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | NM-P Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | Woozy-Meatloaf Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | wasabeej Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | wasabeej Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | wasabeej Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | wasabeej Polymarket | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | PATPAT777 Kalshi | Oklahoma City wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | twoplustwo Polymarket | Cavaliers -4.5 spread | Pending |