AFCON ·
Gabon vs Lesotho prediction for 14 Nov 2026, 00:00 SGT (AFCON). Prediction-market win probability: Gabon 78%, the draw 17%, Lesotho 5% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Gabon 78% · Draw 17% · Lesotho 5% (updated )
Gabon is the prediction-market favourite at 78% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-13 21:32 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2446 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-13 21:32 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Gabon 78% · Draw 17% · Lesotho 5%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Gabon, last 5: W L L L L. Lesotho, last 5: L L L D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-13 21:32 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-30 | vs Niger | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Morocco | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-01-01 | vs Ivory Coast | 2:3 | L |
| 2025-12-28 | vs Mozambique | 2:3 | L |
| 2025-12-25 | vs Cameroon | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Morocco | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Niger | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Kenya | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-06-04 | vs Kenya | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-03-29 | vs Seychelles | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |