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Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC prediction for 7 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (EFL Championship). Prediction-market win probability: Derby County FC 41%, the draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers FC 30% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Derby County FC 41% · Draw 27% · Bolton Wanderers FC 30% (updated )
Derby County FC is the prediction-market favourite at 41% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-03 22:07 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2047 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-03 22:07 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Derby County FC 41% · Draw 27% · Bolton Wanderers FC 30%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Derby County FC, last 5: L D L L D. Bolton Wanderers FC, last 5: L L D W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-03 22:07 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-31 | vs Millwall FC | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Sheffield United FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Stoke City FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Queens Park Rangers FC | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Wrexham AFC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Bristol City FC | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Middlesbrough FC | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Southampton FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Stoke City FC | 1:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | chaeri Polymarket | Bolton Wanderers FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Bolton Wanderers FC to win | Pending |