LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Bundesliga ·
1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen prediction for 8 Nov 2026, 22:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 50% backing the draw. Prediction-market win probability: 1. FC Köln 23%, the draw 22%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: 1. FC Köln 23% · Draw 22% · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53% (updated )
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the prediction-market favourite at 53% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-05 22:56 UTC+8). Of 4 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 2 (50%) back the draw. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 51% of 2087 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-05 22:56 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: 1. FC Köln 23% · Draw 22% · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: 1. FC Köln 1 (25%) · Draw 2 (50%) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 (25%).
1. FC Köln, last 5: D W D L W. Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 5: L W L W W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (1. FC Köln wins – draws – Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-04-25: 1. FC Köln 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-05 22:56 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: 1. FC Köln to win 1 (25%) · the draw 2 (50%) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 1 (25%).
| 2026-11-01 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-28 | vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs FC Schalke 04 | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-31 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-29 | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | vs OFI | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs SC Freiburg | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Köln | 1:2 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2025-12-14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2:0 | 1. FC Köln |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | NM-P Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | nibnibinibi Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | sentrio Polymarket | 1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | dv-pm Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-04 | rulambda Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-03 | WithHighProbability Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | tobako Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | SWAG5 Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | 1. FC Köln to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | toryxbt Polymarket | 1. FC Köln to win | Pending |