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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces result (86:97) on 11 Oct 2025 (WNBA): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 63% backing Las Vegas Aces to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 86:97 Las Vegas Aces (2025-10-11). Before the result, 63% of 8 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Las Vegas Aces to win — that call was right.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 3 (38%) · Las Vegas Aces 5 (63%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: L L L W W. Las Vegas Aces, last 5: W W W W L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Las Vegas Aces wins): 0-0-5; latest 2025-10-09: Phoenix Mercury 88:90 Las Vegas Aces.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2025-10-11 08:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 3 (38%) · Las Vegas Aces to win 5 (63%).
| 2025-10-09 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 88:90 | L |
| 2025-10-06 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 78:91 | L |
| 2025-10-04 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 86:89 | L |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | 86:81 | W |
| 2025-09-27 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | 84:76 | W |
| 2025-10-09 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 90:88 | W |
| 2025-10-06 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 91:78 | W |
| 2025-10-04 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 89:86 | W |
| 2025-10-01 | vs Indiana Fever W | 107:98 | W |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Indiana Fever W | 83:90 | L |
| 2025-10-09 | Phoenix Mercury | 88:90 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | 91:78 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-10-04 | Las Vegas Aces | 89:86 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-22 | Las Vegas Aces | 83:61 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury | 83:86 | Las Vegas Aces |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-11 | mpoly Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | Alert-Doubling Polymarket | Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x944f…7720 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | Broskis Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | Markony Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-10 | roldy Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-10 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-09 | Trance22 Polymarket | Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-09 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-09 | 0x0dea…9d60 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-09 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-09 | 0xfd3a…0b17 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |