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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces result (88:90) on 9 Oct 2025 (WNBA): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 63% backing Las Vegas Aces to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 88:90 Las Vegas Aces (2025-10-09). Before the result, 63% of 8 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Las Vegas Aces to win — that call was right.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 3 (38%) · Las Vegas Aces 5 (63%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: L L W W W. Las Vegas Aces, last 5: W W W L W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Las Vegas Aces wins): 0-0-4; latest 2025-10-06: Las Vegas Aces 91:78 Phoenix Mercury.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2025-10-09 08:29 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 3 (38%) · Las Vegas Aces to win 5 (63%).
| 2025-10-06 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 78:91 | L |
| 2025-10-04 | vs Las Vegas Aces | 86:89 | L |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | 86:81 | W |
| 2025-09-27 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | 84:76 | W |
| 2025-09-24 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | 89:83 | W |
| 2025-10-06 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 91:78 | W |
| 2025-10-04 | vs Phoenix Mercury | 89:86 | W |
| 2025-10-01 | vs Indiana Fever W | 107:98 | W |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Indiana Fever W | 83:90 | L |
| 2025-09-27 | vs Indiana Fever W | 84:72 | W |
| 2025-10-06 | Las Vegas Aces | 91:78 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-10-04 | Las Vegas Aces | 89:86 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-22 | Las Vegas Aces | 83:61 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury | 83:86 | Las Vegas Aces |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | IloveSt0rm Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-09 | FRANK.THE.TANK Polymarket | Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-09 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-09 | spyke23 Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x1098…f4df SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | 0xc88f…3754 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x1098…f4df SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0xb978…b85e SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | 0xb978…b85e SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x7017…00c7 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Lost |
| 2025-10-08 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W | Won |
| 2025-10-08 | Markony Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-07 | 16Raad Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |