Nations League ·
Italy vs France prediction for 13 Nov 2026, 03:45 SGT (Nations League): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing France to win. Prediction-market win probability: Italy 21%, the draw 24%, France 54% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Italy 21% · Draw 24% · France 54% (updated )
France is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-09 10:08 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 5 (71%) back France to win. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-09 10:08 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Italy 21% · Draw 24% · France 54%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Italy 2 (29%) · Draw 0 (0%) · France 5 (71%).
Italy, last 5: W D W L W. France, last 5: W D W W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-09 10:08 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Italy to win 2 (29%) · the draw 0 (0%) · France to win 5 (71%).
| 2026-10-06 | vs Türkiye | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs France | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Türkiye | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Belgium | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-06-08 | vs Greece | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Belgium | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Italy | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Belgium | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Türkiye | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-07-19 | vs England | 4:6 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | France -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | omnibus-424779 Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Agreeable-Alder Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | jotun Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Konsti0290 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Sorrowful-Crook Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Proffesorq Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Pro100Best Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Italy vs France O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | France wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | daveyy Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-05 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-04 | ALL6500 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-04 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Italy to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | Flaznorp Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Viacheslav92 Polymarket | France to win | Pending |