Bundesliga ·
Bayern Munich vs FC Köln prediction for 21 Nov 2026, 03:30 SGT (Bundesliga): 7 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Bayern Munich to win. Prediction-market win probability: Bayern Munich 89%, the draw 6%, FC Köln 3% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Bayern Munich 89% · Draw 6% · FC Köln 3% (updated )
Bayern Munich is the prediction-market favourite at 89% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-15 21:45 UTC+8). Of 3 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (100%) back Bayern Munich to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2564 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 21:45 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Bayern Munich 89% · Draw 6% · FC Köln 3%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
7 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bayern Munich 3 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · FC Köln 0 (0%).
Bayern Munich, last 5: W W D W W. FC Köln, last 5: L D W D L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 21:45 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
7 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bayern Munich to win 3 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · FC Köln to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-11-07 | vs Mainz | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-11-04 | vs Atletico | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Dortmund | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-10-29 | vs Magdeburg | 6:1 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs SC Freiburg | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-11-08 | vs Leverkusen | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Union Berlin | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-28 | vs Union Berlin | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Schalke | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Frankfurt | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | Fatal-Monster Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | 0xfc4d…559b Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | lbtrading Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | believeromeo Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | SECTAISOUTH Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Hm55 Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Rough-Oats-Ironclad Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | FC Bayern München to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Gaditima Polymarket | 1. FC Köln to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | oneoftheppl Polymarket | 1. FC Köln to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | 1. FC Köln to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Bayern Munich wins | Pending |