NFL ·
Patriots vs Raiders prediction for 12 Oct 2026, 01:00 SGT (NFL): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Patriots 64%, Raiders 37% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Patriots 64% · Raiders 37% (updated )
Patriots is the prediction-market favourite at 64% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-06 08:26 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 59% of 1700 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-06 08:26 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Patriots 64% · Raiders 37%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Patriots, last 5: W L W L L. Raiders, last 3: L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-06 08:26 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-05 | vs Bills | 29-26 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Jaguars | 6-35 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Steelers | 20-3 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Seahawks | 10-13 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Browns | 13-37 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Chiefs | 27-30 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Saints | 35-27 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Chargers | 26-14 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | maggletooth Kalshi | NE -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | james.lancaster Kalshi | New England wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | IamLegend33 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | yubajosh Kalshi | NE +3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | clis41 Kalshi | New England wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | clis41 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |