WNBA ·
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces result (82:100) on 25 Sep 2026 (WNBA): 85 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 83% backing Las Vegas Aces to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Phoenix Mercury 82:100 Las Vegas Aces (2026-09-25). Before the result, 83% of 41 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Las Vegas Aces to win — that call was right.
85 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury 7 (17%) · Las Vegas Aces 34 (83%).
Phoenix Mercury, last 5: W L W W L. Las Vegas Aces, last 5: W W W W W. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Phoenix Mercury wins – draws – Las Vegas Aces wins): 1-0-4; latest 2026-07-12: Las Vegas Aces 106:58 Phoenix Mercury.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
85 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Phoenix Mercury to win 7 (17%) · Las Vegas Aces to win 34 (83%).
| 2026-09-22 | vs Dallas Wings | 87:86 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Dallas Wings | 82:87 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Portland Fire | 94:91 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Toronto Tempo | 101:69 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Washington Mystics | 73:80 | L |
| 2026-09-23 | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 89:79 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Seattle Storm | 98:77 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Seattle Storm | 114:77 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Toronto Tempo | 93:73 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Toronto Tempo | 88:78 | W |
| 2026-07-12 | Las Vegas Aces | 106:58 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2026-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury | 76:86 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2026-05-10 | Las Vegas Aces | 66:99 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-10-11 | Phoenix Mercury | 86:97 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-10-09 | Phoenix Mercury | 88:90 | Las Vegas Aces |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | dv-pm Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | dv-pm Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | JarvisChen Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Prediktian69 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Alice-In-Wonder-Land Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | nottheworst2 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | cosmicsteaks Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Alice-In-Wonder-Land Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | JarvisChen Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Prediktian69 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | nottheworst2 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | cosmicsteaks Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | JarvisChen Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Gaditima Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Gaditima Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | JarvisChen Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | believeromeo Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Gaditima Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Gaditima Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | tcjoness Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | NTSS Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | NTSS Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury O/U 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | doglover4571 Polymarket | Las Vegas Aces -9.5 spread | Won |