CONCACAF Nations League ·
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 10:00 SGT (CONCACAF Nations League): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 75% backing Dominican Republic to win. Prediction-market win probability: Nicaragua 19%, the draw 24%, Dominican Republic 58% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Nicaragua 19% · Draw 24% · Dominican Republic 58% (updated )
Dominican Republic is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC+8). Of 4 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (75%) back Dominican Republic to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1420 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Nicaragua 19% · Draw 24% · Dominican Republic 58%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
4 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Nicaragua 1 (25%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Dominican Republic 3 (75%).
Nicaragua, last 5: L L L L D. Dominican Republic, last 3: L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Nicaragua to win 1 (25%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Dominican Republic to win 3 (75%).
| 2026-10-02 | vs Costa Rica | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Curaçao | 1-6 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Dominican Republic | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | vs Paraguay | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-05-29 | vs South Africa | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Haiti | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Trinidad and Tobago | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Nicaragua | 3-2 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | doador Polymarket | Dominican Republic to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | doador Polymarket | Nicaragua to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | doador Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | thoughtful.hornet5762 Kalshi | Dominican Republic wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | benjammin29 Kalshi | DOM -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | benjammin29 Kalshi | DOM -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Dominican Republic wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Dominican Republic to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Nicaragua to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | Nicaragua to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Nicaragua to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | clis41 Kalshi | Dominican Republic wins | Pending |