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Portugal vs Norway Prediction – 5 Oct 2026, 02:45

UEFA Nations League ·

Portugal vs Norway prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (UEFA Nations League): 112 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing Portugal to win. Prediction-market win probability: Portugal 58%, the draw 22%, Norway 21% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.

Latest Polymarket chances: Portugal 58% · Draw 22% · Norway 21% (updated )

Quick answers

Portugal vs Norway prediction: who will win?

Portugal is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8). Of 68 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 48 (71%) back Portugal to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1698 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.

What are the win chances for Portugal vs Norway?

As of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Portugal 58% · Draw 22% · Norway 21%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.

Who are profitable pros picking in Portugal vs Norway?

112 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Portugal 48 (71%) · Draw 3 (4%) · Norway 17 (25%).

Portugal vs Norway: recent form and head-to-head?

Portugal, last 5: W W W L W. Norway, last 5: L L W L W.

Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology

What profitable pros picked

112 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Portugal to win 48 (71%) · the draw 3 (4%) · Norway to win 17 (25%).

Recent form

Portugal

2026-10-02vs Denmark4-2W
2026-09-28vs Norway2-1W
2026-09-25vs Wales1-0W
2026-07-07vs Spain0-1L
2026-07-03vs Croatia2-1W

Norway

2026-10-02vs Wales1-2L
2026-09-28vs Portugal1-2L
2026-09-25vs Denmark3-2W
2026-07-12vs England1-2L
2026-07-06vs Brazil2-1W

173 pros predicted

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-040x812c…b81f
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04ColdMath
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Oinky
Polymarket
Norway to winPending
2026-10-04Oinky
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Gptball
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Norway -2.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04katie26
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-04katie26
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04katie26
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-040x0f34…7684
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04nemesis18
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Funboyboy
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-04Funboyboy
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-040xjames
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Somber-Commercial
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Somber-Commercial
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04Exciting-Tentacle
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04horrocrux
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Enraged-Deliberation
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04Enraged-Youth
Polymarket
Portugal -2.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5Pending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Norway -2.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Norway -2.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
exact score 2 - 0Pending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Woohx
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Woohx
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Woohx
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Norway to winPending
2026-10-04Woohx
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Triple777
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Triple777
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04suraxy
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Woohx
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04suraxy
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Eugene-H.Krabs
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04SPNKBBL
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 0.5Pending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
exact score 2 - 0Pending
2026-10-04crtweb3
Polymarket
Portugal to winPending
2026-10-04Om96
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-04cooljit
Polymarket
Portugal vs Norway O/U 2.5Pending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -3.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Corny-Quartet
Polymarket
both teams to scorePending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -1.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Flaznorp
Polymarket
Portugal -3.5 spreadPending
2026-10-04Enraged-Youth
Polymarket
Portugal -3.5 spreadPending
See the full record on Tips

Teams

Portugal men's national football teamNorway men's national association football team

League

UEFA Nations League

Most accurate pros

miguellindeep.birdabsent.mutt5859dopameansteep.starfish6806tragic.hippopotamus3162cristhian.fonseca1996yootoounderground.foxhound0006literary.pheasant4035maximum.corgi0006standrews.roadhole

See the full data on Tips