UEFA Nations League ·
Portugal vs Norway prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (UEFA Nations League): 112 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing Portugal to win. Prediction-market win probability: Portugal 58%, the draw 22%, Norway 21% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Portugal 58% · Draw 22% · Norway 21% (updated )
Portugal is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8). Of 68 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 48 (71%) back Portugal to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1698 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Portugal 58% · Draw 22% · Norway 21%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
112 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Portugal 48 (71%) · Draw 3 (4%) · Norway 17 (25%).
Portugal, last 5: W W W L W. Norway, last 5: L L W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 00:23 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
112 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Portugal to win 48 (71%) · the draw 3 (4%) · Norway to win 17 (25%).
| 2026-10-02 | vs Denmark | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Norway | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Wales | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-07-07 | vs Spain | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-07-03 | vs Croatia | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Wales | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Portugal | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Denmark | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-07-12 | vs England | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-07-06 | vs Brazil | 2-1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0x812c…b81f Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | ColdMath Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Oinky Polymarket | Norway to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Oinky Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Gptball Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Norway -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x0f34…7684 Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | nemesis18 Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | 0xjames Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Exciting-Tentacle Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | horrocrux Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Enraged-Deliberation Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | Portugal -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Norway -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Norway -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 2 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Woohx Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Woohx Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Woohx Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Norway to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Woohx Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Triple777 Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Triple777 Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | suraxy Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Woohx Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | suraxy Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Eugene-H.Krabs Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | SPNKBBL Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 2 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | crtweb3 Polymarket | Portugal to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Om96 Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cooljit Polymarket | Portugal vs Norway O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Corny-Quartet Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Portugal -3.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Enraged-Youth Polymarket | Portugal -3.5 spread | Pending |