UEFA Nations League ·
Estonia vs Luxembourg result (1-0) on 4 Oct 2026 (UEFA Nations League): 91 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 58% backing Estonia to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg (2026-10-04). Before the result, 58% of 45 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Estonia to win — that call was right.
91 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Estonia 26 (58%) · Draw 10 (22%) · Luxembourg 9 (20%).
Estonia, last 5: D D L D L. Luxembourg, last 5: L W W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 05:18 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
91 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Estonia to win 26 (58%) · the draw 10 (22%) · Luxembourg to win 9 (20%).
| 2026-09-30 | vs Bulgaria | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Iceland | 1-1 | D |
| 2025-11-14 | vs Norway | 1-4 | L |
| 2025-10-14 | vs Moldova | 1-1 | D |
| 2025-10-12 | vs Italy | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Iceland | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Bulgaria | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Albania | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-06-04 | vs Italy | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-03-31 | vs Malta | 3-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | CaptainColby Polymarket | Luxembourg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CaptainColby Polymarket | Luxembourg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x4d2d…b9cf Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x780b…7c7d Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x780b…7c7d Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x4d2d…b9cf Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | chux.cc Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | dips. Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | maraya Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | wiskundeman17 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Punctual-Motor Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | chux.cc Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | wiskundeman17 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Punctual-Motor Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | dips. Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | maraya Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | qfwdsd1 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | chux.cc Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Scornful-Lieu Polymarket | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Vampiro1 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | JvyTfGPfAUCN73kQ Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | drex0o Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LSB1 Polymarket | 2nd half · Luxembourg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | oieshfn345 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | criafla Polymarket | Estonia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Poolymath Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Poolymath Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Luxembourg to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Halftime · Estonia leading | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 1 - 1 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Secondhandvinyl Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | katie26 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | lucas10 Polymarket | Estonia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | patfer Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | patfer Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0xbfD770B7ff0 Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | dips. Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Rakatraka Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | FlobzzBets Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Gptball Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Funboyboy Polymarket | Estonia vs Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | Won |