Champions League ·
Real Madrid vs PSV prediction for 25 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (Champions League): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Real Madrid 82%, the draw 10%, PSV 7% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Real Madrid 82% · Draw 10% · PSV 7% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 82% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-15 22:47 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2564 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 22:47 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Real Madrid 82% · Draw 10% · PSV 7%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Real Madrid, last 5: W W W W W. PSV, last 5: W L W D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 22:47 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-11-08 | vs Valencia | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs AEK Athens | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Santander | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Leipzig | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-11-08 | vs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Club Brugge | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Willem II Tilburg | 7:0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-21 | vs FC Porto | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | Fatal-Monster Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | PSV to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | OranG3 Polymarket | PSV to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-06 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |