LoL Worlds 2026 · VALORANT Champions 2026 · MLB Postseason
La Liga ·
Vallecano vs Bilbao prediction for 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 SGT (La Liga): 164 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 56% backing Bilbao to win. Prediction-market win probability: Vallecano 28%, the draw 32%, Bilbao 40% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Vallecano 28% · Draw 32% · Bilbao 40% (updated )
Bilbao is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-11 00:59 UTC+8). Of 39 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 22 (56%) back Bilbao to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1515 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-11 00:59 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Vallecano 28% · Draw 32% · Bilbao 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
164 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Vallecano 6 (15%) · Draw 11 (28%) · Bilbao 22 (56%).
Vallecano, last 5: D W L W L. Bilbao, last 5: D D D W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-14 15:28 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
164 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Vallecano to win 6 (15%) · the draw 11 (28%) · Bilbao to win 22 (56%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Osasuna | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Espanyol | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Madrid | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Santander | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:5 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Alaves | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Elche CF | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atletico | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Celta Vigo | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Ballons Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Hugin-og-Munin Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 4.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | sbsigner Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | sbsigner Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | pauleta23 Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-12 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | foooool Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Itchy-Organisation Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Itchy-Organisation Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Blacksmith609 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | keegooz Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | juanmateo Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | clis41 Kalshi | Vallecano wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | norrisfan Polymarket | Athletic Club to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 8.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | piepi Polymarket | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club O/U 7.5 | Pending |