Intl Friendlies ·
USA vs Mexico result (3:0) on 4 Oct 2026 (Intl Friendlies): 448 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 54% backing USA to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: USA 3:0 Mexico (2026-10-04). Before the result, 54% of 287 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed USA to win — that call was right.
448 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: USA 156 (54%) · Draw 43 (15%) · Mexico 88 (31%).
USA, last 5: W W L W L. Mexico, last 5: D D L W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-06 04:58 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
448 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: USA to win 156 (54%) · the draw 43 (15%) · Mexico to win 88 (31%).
| 2026-09-30 | vs Chile | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Peru | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-07-07 | vs Belgium | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-07-02 | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-06-26 | vs Turkey | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Peru | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Colombia | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-07-06 | vs England | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-07-01 | vs Ecuador | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Czechia | 3:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | RealTraderx Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | RealTraderx Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | omnibus-076daa Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Rakatraka Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Rakatraka Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | omnibus-076daa Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | cymcc Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Robertdancce Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | Halftime · Mexico leading | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | corners 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Vampiro1 Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LSB1 Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hollow-Clothes Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Abdou1616 Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hahaup Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hahaup Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LonnieHawkinss Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LonnieHawkinss Polymarket | United States -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Piccolo Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Somber-Piccolo Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Saber-greed Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Rakatraka Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Mephy Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Punctual-Motor Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | exact score 2 - 2 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Rakatraka Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Abdou1616 Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Vampiro1 Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | sumsum84 Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hahaup Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | hahaup Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | LSB1 Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Punctual-Motor Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Saber-greed Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | cymcc Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Hollow-Clothes Polymarket | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | United States vs Mexico O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | emacron Polymarket | Halftime · Mexico leading | Won |