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Saint Louis vs LA Galaxy prediction for 12 Oct 2026, 07:00 SGT (MLS): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Saint Louis 61%, the draw 20%, LA Galaxy 21% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Saint Louis 61% · Draw 20% · LA Galaxy 21% (updated )
Saint Louis is the prediction-market favourite at 61% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 18:11 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1795 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 18:11 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Saint Louis 61% · Draw 20% · LA Galaxy 21%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Saint Louis, last 5: W W W D W. LA Galaxy, last 5: W W D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 18:11 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-01 | vs New York RB | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Toronto FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Minnesota | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Portland | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Vancouver | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Colorado | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Minnesota | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Seattle | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Vancouver | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs New England | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | the.real.winner Kalshi | Los Angeles G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Rapid-Journey-Rite Polymarket | St. Louis City SC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-07 | extraordinary.dachshund2124 Kalshi | Saint Louis wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | dersh.gersh Kalshi | STL -1.5 | Pending |