Fifa Friendly ·
Bolivia vs Gambia prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 06:30 SGT (Fifa Friendly): 25 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 71% backing the draw. Prediction-market win probability: Bolivia <1%, the draw 99%, Gambia <1% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Bolivia <1% · Draw 99% · Gambia <1% (updated )
the draw is the prediction-market favourite at 99% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-03 00:21 UTC+8). Of 17 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 12 (71%) back the draw. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 66% of 1215 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-03 00:21 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Bolivia <1% · Draw 99% · Gambia <1%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
25 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bolivia 5 (29%) · Draw 12 (71%) · Gambia 0 (0%).
Bolivia, last 4: L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-03 11:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
25 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Bolivia to win 5 (29%) · the draw 12 (71%) · Gambia to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-10-01 | vs Argentina | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Paraguay | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-06-11 | vs Algeria | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-06-07 | vs Scotland | 0-4 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Comfortable-Sandwich Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Comfortable-Sandwich Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | retarb Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Hasty-Worker Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Hasty-Worker Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | glm404.fund Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | glm404.fund Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Gambia to win | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | retarb Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Hasty-Worker Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | glm404.fund Polymarket | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | glm404.fund Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | glm404.fund Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Hasty-Worker Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pricey-Million Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Comfortable-Sandwich Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | retarb Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Comfortable-Sandwich Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Bolivia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Pure-Eyeliner Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian Polymarket | Gambia to win | Pending |