Major League Soccer ·
Toronto FC vs CF Montréal prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 01:00 SGT (Major League Soccer). Prediction-market win probability: Toronto FC 50%, the draw 24%, CF Montréal 28% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Toronto FC 50% · Draw 24% · CF Montréal 28% (updated )
Toronto FC is the prediction-market favourite at 50% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-06 16:39 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1638 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-06 16:39 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Toronto FC 50% · Draw 24% · CF Montréal 28%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Toronto FC, last 5: L L L W D. CF Montréal, last 5: W L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-06 16:39 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-27 | vs Nashville SC | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs St. Louis City SC | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Orlando City SC | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Nashville SC | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Chicago Fire FC | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs FC Cincinnati | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Columbus Crew | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Colorado Rapids SC | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Charlotte FC | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Philadelphia Union | 0-2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Toronto FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | lavendergooms Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | cal.vin Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | manuel9009 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | manuel9009 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | manuel9009 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | manuel9009 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | manuel9009 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | 0x6b25…7a69 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-09-27 | lavendergooms Polymarket | draw | Pending |