Primera División (Uruguay) ·
CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Primera División (Uruguay)). Prediction-market win probability: CA Cerro 32%, the draw 32%, Montevideo Wanderers 38% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: CA Cerro 32% · Draw 32% · Montevideo Wanderers 38% (updated )
Montevideo Wanderers is the prediction-market favourite at 38% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 12:11 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1983 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 12:11 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CA Cerro 32% · Draw 32% · Montevideo Wanderers 38%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
CA Cerro, last 5: D L W W D. Montevideo Wanderers, last 5: W D D L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 12:11 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-28 | vs CA Juventud de Las Piedras | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CA Penarol Montevideo | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CA Progreso | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Racing Club Montevideo | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | vs CA Boston River | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Albion FC | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Danubio FC | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Club Nacional de Football | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Deportivo Maldonado | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Central Espanol FC | 3-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | CA Cerro to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | WAN -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Cerro wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | doador Polymarket | CA Cerro to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | CA Cerro to win | Pending |