NFL ·
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots result (26-29) on 5 Oct 2026 (NFL): 345 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 59% backing Buffalo Bills to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Buffalo Bills 26-29 New England Patriots (2026-10-05). Before the result, 59% of 182 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Buffalo Bills to win — that call was wrong.
345 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Buffalo Bills 107 (59%) · New England Patriots 75 (41%).
Buffalo Bills, last 5: W W W W W. New England Patriots, last 5: L W L L W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Buffalo Bills wins – draws – New England Patriots wins): 1-0-1; latest 2025-12-15: New England Patriots 31-35 Buffalo Bills.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 04:09 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
345 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Buffalo Bills to win 107 (59%) · New England Patriots to win 75 (41%).
| 2026-09-28 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 24-16 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Detroit Lions | 41-31 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Houston Texans | 36-31 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 28-27 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Cleveland Browns | 31-7 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-35 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 20-3 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 10-13 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Cleveland Browns | 13-37 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 24-21 | W |
| 2025-12-15 | New England Patriots | 31-35 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2025-10-06 | Buffalo Bills | 20-23 | New England Patriots |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | farmer112 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Shwaggins9 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | BRo30 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | TAIWANNUMBERONE Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | zaypicks Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | TAIWANNUMBERONE Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Lackvill Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | TAIWANNUMBERONE Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ccwcc Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | 0xc685…0e9f Polymarket | Bills -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Dogsinapile Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Matma5 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | 0x9f79…d807 Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | sulumos Polymarket | Bills -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | wangzhizhidodger Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | mpoly Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | gannonallison Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | TAIWANNUMBERONE Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | one8tyfive Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | 1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | 0xfd8f…761d Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5) | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Wrong-Burial Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Kingrichard Polymarket | Bills to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ValiBB Polymarket | Patriots vs Bills O/U 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | ValiBB Polymarket | Bills -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | dips. Polymarket | Bills -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | fatdog-012 Polymarket | Bills -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Reformedx Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kingrichard Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | FaroeseNationalist Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | FaroeseNationalist Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | tomb2456 Polymarket | Bills -8.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Margorucci Polymarket | Bills -6.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | EVsinceborn Polymarket | Bills -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | 0x018e…5c3d Polymarket | Patriots to win | Won |