England Women's Super League ·
Manchester City WFC vs Arsenal W result (4-2) on 4 Oct 2026 (England Women's Super League): 64 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 63% backing Manchester City WFC to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Manchester City WFC 4-2 Arsenal W (2026-10-04). Before the result, 63% of 62 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Manchester City WFC to win — that call was right.
64 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Manchester City WFC 39 (63%) · Draw 16 (26%) · Arsenal W 7 (11%).
Manchester City WFC, last 5: D W D W W. Arsenal W, last 5: D L W D D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 01:26 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
64 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Manchester City WFC to win 39 (63%) · the draw 16 (26%) · Arsenal W to win 7 (11%).
| 2026-10-02 | vs Real Madrid W | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Charlton Athletic W | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-22 | vs FC Bayern München W | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Aston Villa W | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Birmingham City W | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Paris FC W | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Chelsea W | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-23 | vs Koege | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Manchester United WFC | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Crystal Palace W | 0-0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | promising.dragonfly6286 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | quixotic.trout6043 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | HectorGro Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Syblix Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Syblix Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | balanced.goldfinch2621 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | cuddly.boar9306 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | fascinating.platypus0611 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | stale.bobcat5634 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Elmaje503 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ruru7989 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | coherent.dalmatian7604 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | complex.cockatiel4198 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | damaged.ram2388 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | distant.skylark4627 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | electrical.stingray2560 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | flat.puma3393 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | good.tail Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | grand.gull4044 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | informal.chicken1059 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | insufficient.chinchilla3518 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | joseluis1992 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | minted.dog3975 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | molia1223 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | occasional.flea3101 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | petite.lamb4354 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | satisfied.zebra5668 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | ANDERSAUCE Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Arsalan2016 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Dream801 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Jtown2294 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Jxicotencatl Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Phuc Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | acceptable.warbler4294 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | blackmonkey Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | blahoick Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | blahoick Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | cloudy.horse4724 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | cloudy.horse4724 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | coat.lie Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | correct.cottontail9954 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | cuddly.boar9306 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | eddypalmer Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | electrical.sturgeon6844 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | flacohanibal45251 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | hkin Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | initial.grouse8219 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | initial.grouse8219 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | insufficient.chinchilla3518 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | jotag17 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | junior.coyote8906 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | lost.leaf Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | maesg75 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | minimal.ragdoll3991 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | misavilla25 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | neighbouring.krill Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | orthodox.hoglet6651 Kalshi | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | promising.dragonfly6286 Kalshi | Arsenal wins | Won |