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Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional prediction for 11 Oct 2026, 22:30 SGT (Liga Portugal). Prediction-market win probability: Rio Ave FC 41%, the draw 31%, CD Nacional 30% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Rio Ave FC 41% · Draw 31% · CD Nacional 30% (updated )
Rio Ave FC is the prediction-market favourite at 41% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 13:44 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 42% of 1561 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 13:44 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Rio Ave FC 41% · Draw 31% · CD Nacional 30%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Rio Ave FC, last 5: L D L L W. CD Nacional, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 13:44 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs FC Alverca | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-09-15 | vs CF Estrela da Amadora | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs CD Santa Clara | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Sporting CP | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Estoril Praia | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | vs FC Famalicão | 0:4 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs FC Alverca | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Sporting CP | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs CF Estrela da Amadora | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Vitória SC | 0:1 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | EF717 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | EF717 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-28 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional O/U 1.5 | Pending |