UEFA Champions League ·
Villarreal CF vs Napoli prediction for 14 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (UEFA Champions League). Prediction-market win probability: Villarreal CF 44%, the draw 26%, Napoli 31% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Villarreal CF 44% · Draw 26% · Napoli 31% (updated )
Villarreal CF is the prediction-market favourite at 44% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-05 16:14 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1987 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-05 16:14 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Villarreal CF 44% · Draw 26% · Napoli 31%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Villarreal CF, last 5: W W L L L. Napoli, last 5: D W L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 16:14 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-20 | vs Levante UD | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Malaga | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Real Betis Balompié | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Dortmund | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Borussia Dortmund | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Fiorentina | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Bologna FC 1909 | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Arsenal FC | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Inter Milan | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Como 1907 | 1-2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | SSC Napoli to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | SSC Napoli to win | Pending |