NFL ·
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction for 12 Oct 2026, 01:00 SGT (NFL): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 67% backing Las Vegas Raiders to win. Prediction-market win probability: New England Patriots 64%, Las Vegas Raiders 37% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: New England Patriots 64% · Las Vegas Raiders 37% (updated )
New England Patriots is the prediction-market favourite at 64% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-07 09:16 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (67%) back Las Vegas Raiders to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1669 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-07 09:16 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: New England Patriots 64% · Las Vegas Raiders 37%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: New England Patriots 2 (33%) · Las Vegas Raiders 4 (67%).
New England Patriots, last 5: W L W L L. Las Vegas Raiders, last 5: L W W W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-07 09:16 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: New England Patriots to win 2 (33%) · Las Vegas Raiders to win 4 (67%).
| 2026-10-05 | vs Buffalo Bills | 29:26 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 6:35 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 20:3 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 10:13 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | vs Cleveland Browns | 13:37 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 27:30 | L |
| 2026-09-28 | vs New Orleans Saints | 35:27 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 26:14 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Miami Dolphins | 27:13 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 12:18 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | hip.wolf Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Sheldogg83 Kalshi | NE +3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | SplishNSplashCash Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | SplishNSplashCash Kalshi | LV -6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | reluctant.falcon3591 Kalshi | New England wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | wrong.half Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | maggletooth Kalshi | NE -3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | james.lancaster Kalshi | New England wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | IamLegend33 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | yubajosh Kalshi | NE +3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | clis41 Kalshi | New England wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | clis41 Kalshi | Las Vegas wins | Pending |