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FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora prediction for 12 Oct 2026, 03:30 SGT (Liga Portugal): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: FC Arouca 47%, the draw 28%, CF Estrela da Amadora 28% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: FC Arouca 47% · Draw 28% · CF Estrela da Amadora 28% (updated )
FC Arouca is the prediction-market favourite at 47% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-10 19:45 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1585 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-10 19:45 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: FC Arouca 47% · Draw 28% · CF Estrela da Amadora 28%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
FC Arouca, last 5: D L D W L. CF Estrela da Amadora, last 5: L D W D W. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (FC Arouca wins – draws – CF Estrela da Amadora wins): 1-0-1; latest 2026-04-19: FC Arouca 1:0 CF Estrela da Amadora.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-10 19:45 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-20 | vs Sporting CP | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs CD Santa Clara | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Estoril Praia | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs CS Marítimo | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs FC Porto | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Académico de Viseu FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-15 | vs Rio Ave FC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-09-11 | vs SC Braga | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs FC Famalicão | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs CD Nacional | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Arouca | 1:0 | CF Estrela da Amadora |
| 2025-12-08 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 3:1 | FC Arouca |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | doador Polymarket | CF Estrela da Amadora to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | vincentvega92 Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-10 | Equal-Complaint Polymarket | FC Arouca to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-09 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora O/U 1.5 | Pending |