UEFA Nations League ·
Scotland vs Slovenia prediction for 7 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (UEFA Nations League): 28 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 86% backing Scotland to win. Prediction-market win probability: Scotland 54%, the draw 28%, Slovenia 19% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Scotland 54% · Draw 28% · Slovenia 19% (updated )
Scotland is the prediction-market favourite at 54% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-06 14:58 UTC+8). Of 14 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 12 (86%) back Scotland to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1636 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-06 14:58 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Scotland 54% · Draw 28% · Slovenia 19%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
28 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Scotland 12 (86%) · Draw 1 (7%) · Slovenia 1 (7%).
Scotland, last 5: W L D L L. Slovenia, last 5: L W D D W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-06 14:58 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
28 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Scotland to win 12 (86%) · the draw 1 (7%) · Slovenia to win 1 (7%).
| 2026-10-04 | vs North Macedonia | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Switzerland | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Slovenia | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Brazil | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-06-20 | vs Morocco | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Switzerland | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs North Macedonia | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Scotland | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-06-04 | vs Cyprus | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-03-31 | vs Montenegro | 3-2 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | famedray Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | famedray Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Macunireal Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | scro1 Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | chuzihang02 Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Somber-Commercial Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | drex0o Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 0 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 0 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | exact score 0 - 0 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 5.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia -5.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Scotland vs Slovenia O/U 8.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Slovenia -4.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | cycloid Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | composed.bat2162 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | composed.bat2162 Kalshi | Scotland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | litvin Kalshi | Tie 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | MoneyCash00 Polymarket | Slovenia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | 12681299 Polymarket | Scotland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | nf99 Kalshi | Slovenia wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | grooy Kalshi | Slovenia record the first goal of the game | Pending |