La Liga ·
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction for 22 Nov 2026, 04:00 SGT (La Liga): 15 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: Real Madrid 82%, the draw 10%, Celta Vigo 7% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Real Madrid 82% · Draw 10% · Celta Vigo 7% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 82% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-14 17:01 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 6 (100%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 88% of 2487 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-14 17:01 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Real Madrid 82% · Draw 10% · Celta Vigo 7%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
15 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Real Madrid 6 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Celta Vigo 0 (0%).
Real Madrid, last 5: W W W W W. Celta Vigo, last 5: W D L L D.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-14 17:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
15 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Real Madrid to win 6 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Celta Vigo to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-11-08 | vs Valencia | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs AEK Athens | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Santander | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Leipzig | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-11-14 | vs Salamanca | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-11-09 | vs Levante UD | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-11-06 | vs Union Gilloise | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-10-31 | vs Vallecano | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Real Betis | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | wjz8597 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | shy.blackbird5866 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-13 | 0xa95a…5acb Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | Fabulous-Mukluk-Convert Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | Hemil Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-12 | repophoto Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-11 | Silky-Button Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | paulgruber Polymarket | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | superputero Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | SECTAISOUTH Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Flaznorp Polymarket | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | noosh1 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Gaditima Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Blaze1995 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Jammo11 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-09 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Hm55 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | coolcoolcoolcoolv Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | unfair.mackerel0621 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | oxwiner Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | steep.starfish6806 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-07 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |