Primera División (Uruguay) ·
Danubio FC vs Cerro Largo FC prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 21:00 SGT (Primera División (Uruguay)): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Danubio FC 46%, the draw 31%, Cerro Largo FC 24% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Danubio FC 46% · Draw 31% · Cerro Largo FC 24% (updated )
Danubio FC is the prediction-market favourite at 46% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1982 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Danubio FC 46% · Draw 31% · Cerro Largo FC 24%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Danubio FC, last 5: L D D D D. Cerro Largo FC, last 5: L L L D L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-09-28 | vs Defensor | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Wanderers | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Las Piedras | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CA Juventud de Las Piedras | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Club Nacional de Football | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Deportivo Maldonado | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Dep Maldonado | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Central Espanol FC | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Montevideo City Torque | 1-2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Cerro Largo FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | Cerro Largo FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | DAN -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Danubio FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | Danubio FC to win | Pending |