Ettan ·
Umea vs Hammarby Talang prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 23:00 SGT (Ettan). Prediction-market win probability: Umea 20%, the draw 22%, Hammarby Talang 58% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Umea 20% · Draw 22% · Hammarby Talang 58% (updated )
Hammarby Talang is the prediction-market favourite at 58% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 10:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1418 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 10:01 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Umea 20% · Draw 22% · Hammarby Talang 58%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Umea, last 5: L W W L W. Hammarby Talang, last 5: W L D W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 10:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-09-27 | vs FBK Karlstad | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Stocksund | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Pitea | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Stockholm Intern. | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Arlanda | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Stocksund | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-22 | vs Arlanda | 2-4 | L |
| 2026-09-18 | vs Vasalunds | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Sollentuna | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Stockholm Intern. | 0-3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Hammarby Talang wins | Pending |