Fifa Friendly ·
USA vs Canada prediction for 7 Oct 2026, 08:07 SGT (Fifa Friendly): 9 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 75% backing USA to win. Prediction-market win probability: USA 50%, the draw 26%, Canada 26% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: USA 50% · Draw 26% · Canada 26% (updated )
USA is the prediction-market favourite at 50% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-05 16:34 UTC+8). Of 4 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (75%) back USA to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1705 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-05 16:34 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: USA 50% · Draw 26% · Canada 26%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
9 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: USA 3 (75%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Canada 1 (25%).
USA, last 5: W W W L W. Canada, last 5: W W L W L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-05 16:34 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
9 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: USA to win 3 (75%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Canada to win 1 (25%).
| 2026-10-04 | vs Mexico | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Chile | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Peru | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-07-07 | vs Belgium | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-07-02 | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Peru | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Chile | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-07-05 | vs Morocco | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-06-29 | vs South Africa | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-06-25 | vs Switzerland | 1-2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | kabina- Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | initial.grouse8219 Kalshi | USA wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | USA -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | polite.wolverine9579 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | ulos Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | cristhian.fonseca1996 Kalshi | USA wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | nigiri99 Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | clis41 Kalshi | Canada wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | cuna Kalshi | USA wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | rolvystz Kalshi | Canada wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | clis41 Kalshi | USA wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Filko44 Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | JaniLe Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | retarb Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | lukibazdonauki754 Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | optionking Polymarket | United States to win | Pending |