UEFA Champions League ·
AS Roma vs Real Madrid prediction for 15 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (UEFA Champions League): 12 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 80% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: AS Roma 26%, the draw 23%, Real Madrid 53% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: AS Roma 26% · Draw 23% · Real Madrid 53% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 53% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-07 18:20 UTC+8). Of 10 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 8 (80%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1595 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-07 18:20 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AS Roma 26% · Draw 23% · Real Madrid 53%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
12 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AS Roma 0 (0%) · Draw 2 (20%) · Real Madrid 8 (80%).
AS Roma, last 5: D D W D W. Real Madrid, last 5: L L W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-07 18:20 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
12 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AS Roma to win 0 (0%) · the draw 2 (20%) · Real Madrid to win 8 (80%).
| 2026-09-19 | vs Inter | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs FC Internazionale Milano | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Torino FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-10 | vs Fenerbahce | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Atalanta | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Atletico | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Elche CF | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Vallecano | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Rayo Vallecano | 4:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Barren-Morbidity Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | ulos Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | sleek.crow Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | dersh.gersh Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Gaditima Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | nigiri99 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-05 | Iqosnxjdk Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Tys0n8686 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AS Roma to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AS Roma to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | clis41 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | defensive.puppy8786 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | controlled.crayfish7916 Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | michael.alvarez Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |