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CONMEBOL Sudamericana ·
CA Boca Juniors vs CR Vasco da Gama prediction for 14 Oct 2026, 08:30 SGT (CONMEBOL Sudamericana). Prediction-market win probability: CA Boca Juniors 51%, the draw 31%, CR Vasco da Gama 20% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: CA Boca Juniors 51% · Draw 31% · CR Vasco da Gama 20% (updated )
CA Boca Juniors is the prediction-market favourite at 51% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-09 14:56 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 53% of 1628 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-09 14:56 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CA Boca Juniors 51% · Draw 31% · CR Vasco da Gama 20%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
CA Boca Juniors, last 5: W W D W W. CR Vasco da Gama, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-09 14:56 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-03 | vs CA Unión | 3:0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Sao Paulo | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-09-12 | vs CA Central Córdoba | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Sao Paulo | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | vs Botafogo FR | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Coritiba FBC | 5:0 | W |
| 2026-09-16 | vs Independiente Santa Fe | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Gremio | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Grêmio FBPA | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | CA Boca Juniors to win | Pending |